Let's pretend you regularly check your portfolio. Let's also assume you decided you wanted to take a vacation from it all and go camping or out to sea for 7 months or so, leaving the day before the market started tanking. During your time away, you had no internet access and couldn't check your portfolio. When you come back in December or January, you open up your account and notice it's slightly higher than when you left. Not by very much, but still in line with the gradual upward trend of the market over time. Nothing to see here. You shrug, close your computer, and go about your day as usual. And unless someone said something, you would have had no idea there was a small crisis in your absence.
That beard has got to go before you go back to work |
In the same way, good investors buy business ownership for the long run. There are some people that try to make money by buying and selling stocks or real estate. Most people that try to time the market end up broke. A handful, either through luck or skill, do extraordinarily well, which fuel the dreams and ambitions of those trying to emulate them with little hope. During the real estate bubble, millions of people bought properties with the goal of capitalizing on the market increases. Those who sold before the bubble burst were either lucky or smart. Some people get lucky with risk. Statistically, you're probably not one of them.
Don't try to time the market. Buy businesses that your research shows will do well over the next few decades, invest regularly and hold on to them. If you don't know how to research a business, buy an index. History shows us that the market returns a decent 8% return in an average year. Sure, there will always be someone making more money than you, but THEY AREN'T YOU. And chances are, if they're making lot more money than the market, they're taking on foolish risks that will eventually bite them in the ass. Steer clear of get rich quick schemes and keep it simple.
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